ABSTRACT
This paper aims to analyze possible effects of the economic crisis caused by Covid-19 on criminality, poverty and mortality rates in Brazilian municipalities. With this purpose, the year 2015 was analyzed for being the period when the country went through the greatest recession in recent years. The Propensity Score Matching Method was used to evaluate the impact of a sharp decrease in the Gross Domestic Product. The data surveyed showed that no difference of effect was observed in the variation of these variables between the municipalities that experienced the recession and those where there was economic growth.
ABSTRACT
The main goal of this paper is to analyze the Covid-19 effect on jobs, using Brazilian microregions data. The Covid-19 effect was disaggregated into exogenous (reduction in exports) and endogenous (increase in social distancing) variables, the coefficient was estimated by Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR). Using this methodology we can control the extremum heterogeneity, estimating one coefficient for each microregion in the sample. The results revealed that exports did not have any effects on jobs. On the other hand, the social distancing presented negative effect on employment, besides, stronger effect was observed in the Brazilian Northeastern region. © 2020 Estudios de Economia Aplicada. All rights reserved.